← Back to the 17:30 Navan
Nugentstown Sue
7yo · Hugh Paul Finegan · Nicola Burns(5) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
1.8%
Fair odds
277/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
28.7
Official rating
74
Weight
135lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
5
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
23 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0-0
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0-0 over the last 2 start(s); 5 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 12 | 7.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 74 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 45 | 5.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 23 | 3% | 96 | 2.9 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 74 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Hugh Paul Finegan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Nicola Burns(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 135 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 47 | 0.9 |