Model probability
6.6%
Fair odds
71/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
52.3
Official rating
72
Weight
129lb
Draw
14
Days since last run
50
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
23 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6-3634
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6-3634 over the last 5 start(s); 50 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 54 | 31.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 72 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 42 | 5.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 14 of 23 | 3% | 77 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 72 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 46 | 1.8 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form A P O'Brien — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Wayne Lordan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |