Model probability
1.4%
Fair odds
699/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
24.5
Official rating
74
Weight
140lb
Draw
21
Days since last run
24
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
23 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
080
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 74 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 45 | 5.4 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 080 over the last 3 start(s); 24 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 8 | 4.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 74 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Liam P Cusack — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 21 of 23 | 3% | 49 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form James Ryan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 140 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |