Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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If Not For Grace

4yo · Liam P Cusack · James Ryan · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
1.4%
Fair odds
699/10
Model edge
Raw score
24.5
Official rating
74
Weight
140lb
Draw
21
Days since last run
24

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
23 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

080

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 74 against a class 5 contest
12%455.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 080 over the last 3 start(s); 24 day(s) since the last run
58%84.8
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 74 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%502.0
Course performance
Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Liam P Cusack — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 21 of 23
3%491.5
Jockey recent form
James Ryan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 140 lb (top weight)
2%200.4