← Back to the 18:30 Down Royal
Doctor Grace
6yo · Adrian McGuinness · Cillian Rowan(4) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
4.7%
Fair odds
101/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.2
Official rating
68
Weight
139lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
72
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
521U00
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 521U00 over the last 6 start(s); 72 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 33 | 19.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 68 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 35 | 4.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 17 | 3% | 84 | 2.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 68 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 53 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Adrian McGuinness — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Cillian Rowan(4) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 139 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 25 | 0.5 |