Model probability
3.1%
Fair odds
157/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
31.5
Official rating
66
Weight
137lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
17
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
420790
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 420790 over the last 6 start(s); 17 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 22 | 12.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 66 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 32 | 3.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 17 | 3% | 68 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 66 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 49 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Mark Fahey — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Reese Holohan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 137 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 34 | 0.7 |