Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 18:30 Down Royal

Areana

7yo · Eddie & Patrick Harty · Jessica O'Gorman · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
8.6%
Fair odds
107/10
Model edge
Raw score
49.9
Official rating
68
Weight
139lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
355

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

7/110-

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 7/110- over the last 4 start(s); 355 day(s) since the last run
58%5230.2
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 68 against a class 5 contest
12%354.2
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 10 of 17
3%792.4
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 68 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%532.1
Course performance
Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Eddie & Patrick Harty — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Jessica O'Gorman — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 139 lb (below top weight)
2%250.5