Model probability
2.3%
Fair odds
423/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
26.3
Official rating
69
Weight
140lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
259
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
97000-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 97000- over the last 5 start(s); 259 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 10 | 5.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 17 | 3% | 95 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form M J Tynan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Orla Tynan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 140 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |