Model probability
2.3%
Fair odds
208/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
26.6
Official rating
67
Weight
138lb
Draw
15
Days since last run
196
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0097-6
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0097-6 over the last 5 start(s); 196 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 14 | 7.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 67 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 34 | 4.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 67 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 51 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 15 of 17 | 3% | 52 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form P Sweeney — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Gabriella Hill(2) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 138 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 29 | 0.6 |