← Back to the 18:30 Down Royal
Chosen One
3yo · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · Sadhbh Tormey(2) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
4.7%
Fair odds
102/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.0
Official rating
69
Weight
133lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0-5628
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0-5628 over the last 5 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 32 | 18.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 11 of 17 | 3% | 73 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Donnacha Aidan O'Brien — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 52 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form Sadhbh Tormey(2) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |