Model probability
1.8%
Fair odds
277/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
21.6
Official rating
64
Weight
128lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
8
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
09788
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 64 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 29 | 3.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 17 | 3% | 84 | 2.5 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 64 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 45 | 1.8 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 09788 over the last 5 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 3 | 1.7 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 75 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form Patrick Magee — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Reserve 2 — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |