Model probability
2.0%
Fair odds
483/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
24.1
Official rating
60
Weight
142lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
10
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
7/60-8
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 7/60-8 over the last 4 start(s); 10 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 10 | 5.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 67 | 2.7 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 24 | 3% | 72 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Adrian Sexton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Conor Lamon(10) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 142 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |