Model probability
2.6%
Fair odds
381/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
28.2
Official rating
52
Weight
134lb
Draw
15
Days since last run
3
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
059050
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 059050 over the last 6 start(s); 3 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 20 | 11.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 15 of 24 | 3% | 75 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 52 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Sean Davis — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 52 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 11 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Reserve 3 — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 134 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 41 | 0.8 |