Model probability
1.9%
Fair odds
252/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
23.3
Official rating
57
Weight
139lb
Draw
17
Days since last run
13
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-09070
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -09070 over the last 5 start(s); 13 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 10 | 5.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 57 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 61 | 2.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 57 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 18 | 2.2 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 17 of 24 | 3% | 68 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form P Sweeney — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Patrick McGettigan(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 139 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 28 | 0.6 |