Model probability
2.9%
Fair odds
166/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
30.6
Official rating
40
Weight
122lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
125
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
05-506
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 05-506 over the last 5 start(s); 125 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 26 | 14.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 24 | 3% | 99 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form A J Martin — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 122 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 72 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Reserve 2 — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 40 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 23 | 0.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 40 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 0 | 0.0 |