Model probability
5.5%
Fair odds
86/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
42.0
Official rating
57
Weight
133lb
Draw
23
Days since last run
5
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-23190
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -23190 over the last 5 start(s); 5 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 43 | 24.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 57 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 61 | 2.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 57 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 18 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Butler — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 23 of 24 | 3% | 45 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Cleary(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 43 | 0.9 |