Model probability
4.9%
Fair odds
97/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.9
Official rating
53
Weight
136lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
3
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
866901
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 866901 over the last 6 start(s); 3 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 39 | 22.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 24 | 3% | 91 | 2.7 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 53 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 52 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form W McCreery — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 53 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 12 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form W J Lee — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 136 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 36 | 0.7 |