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Oh I Do Declare
3yo · Richard John O'Brien · Scott McCullagh · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
1.7%
Fair odds
293/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
20.6
Official rating
54
Weight
130lb
Draw
22
Days since last run
143
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0-09
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0-09 over the last 3 start(s); 143 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 7 | 3.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 54 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 54 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 14 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Richard John O'Brien — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 22 of 24 | 3% | 49 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 51 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form Scott McCullagh — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |