Model probability
5.2%
Fair odds
92/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
40.9
Official rating
60
Weight
136lb
Draw
21
Days since last run
73
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
24 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-40429
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -40429 over the last 5 start(s); 73 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 39 | 22.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 67 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 21 of 24 | 3% | 53 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Gavin Cromwell — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Gary Carroll — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 136 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 36 | 0.7 |