← Back to the 15:47 Haydock
Jer Batt
6yo · David & Nicola Barron · Callum Rodriguez · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
8.9%
Fair odds
103/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
51.7
Official rating
80
Weight
138lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
28
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Aesterius At Bearstone Stud Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 5f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
7-7334
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 7-7334 over the last 5 start(s); 28 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 51 | 29.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 12 | 3% | 76 | 2.3 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 77 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form David & Nicola Barron — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Callum Rodriguez — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 138 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 31 | 0.6 |