Fri, 4 Sept 2026

15:47 Haydock — Aesterius At Bearstone Stud Handicap Stakes

Class 45fHeavyTurfHandicap12 runnersModel v1.4

Sort by

6Lipsink

9yo · Draw 6 · 136lb · OR 78 · Form 14-202

Michael Appleby · Alistair Rawlinson · 6 days since last run

Score

61.6

Model

15.4%

Fair odds

11/2

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

2Secret Mistral

6yo · Draw 10 · 139lb · OR 81 · Form 8-2134

Tony Carroll · Clifford Lee · 9 days since last run

Score

59.9

Model

14.1%

Fair odds

61/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

11Creative Queen

3yo · Draw 3 · 130lb · OR 73 · Form 217732

William Haggas · Cieren Fallon · 21 days since last run

Score

58.5

Model

13.0%

Fair odds

67/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

5Accrual

5yo · Draw 9 · 137lb · OR 79 · Form 530513

Ruth Carr · William Pyle · 21 days since last run

Score

57.9

Model

12.6%

Fair odds

69/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

4Jer Batt

6yo · Draw 1 · 138lb · OR 80 · Form 7-7334

David & Nicola Barron · Callum Rodriguez · 28 days since last run

Score

51.7

Model

8.9%

Fair odds

103/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

1Changeofmind

6yo · Draw 4 · 140lb · OR 82 · Form 018762

Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley · 15 days since last run

Score

49.5

Model

7.9%

Fair odds

117/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

3Mighty Magnus

3yo · Draw 11 · 138lb · OR 81 · Form 315350

Michael Dods · Connor Beasley · 16 days since last run

Score

48.6

Model

7.5%

Fair odds

123/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

7Parisiac

7yo · Draw 8 · 135lb · OR 77 · Form -12208

Iain Jardine · Shay Farmer(5) · 14 days since last run

Score

46.4

Model

6.6%

Fair odds

141/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

8Spoof

11yo · Draw 2 · 135lb · OR 77 · Form 487-18

Kevin & Lauren Frost · Jack Mitchell · 87 days since last run

Score

40.0

Model

4.7%

Fair odds

41/2

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

10American Bay

5yo · Draw 12 · 130lb · OR 72 · Form 572057

Paul Midgley · David Nolan · 22 days since last run

Score

36.8

Model

3.9%

Fair odds

247/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

9Boston Dan

3yo · Draw 5 · 134lb · OR 77 · Form 000470

Tim Easterby · David Allan · 16 days since last run

Score

33.0

Model

3.1%

Fair odds

154/5

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

12Moonstone Boy

5yo · Draw 7 · 129lb · OR 71 · Form 0-4778

Jennie Candlish · Darragh Keenan · 147 days since last run

Score

28.3

Model

2.4%

Fair odds

401/10

Edge

—

Rank

Data quality: High

Race shape

Model probability and odds for every declared runner; the bars add up to 100%.

Lipsink

15.4%11/2

Secret Mistral

14.1%61/10

Creative Queen

13.0%67/10

Accrual

12.6%69/10

Jer Batt

8.9%103/10

Changeofmind

7.9%117/10

Mighty Magnus

7.5%123/10

Parisiac

6.6%141/10

Spoof

4.7%41/2

American Bay

3.9%247/10

Boston Dan

3.1%154/5

Moonstone Boy

2.4%401/10