Model probability
3.9%
Fair odds
247/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
36.8
Official rating
72
Weight
130lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
22
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Aesterius At Bearstone Stud Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 5f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
572057
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 572057 over the last 6 start(s); 22 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 29 | 17.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 72 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 42 | 5.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 72 against a field average of 77 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 38 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form Paul Midgley — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 75 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 12 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form David Nolan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |