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← Back to the 17:21 Kempton (AW)

Sontsivka

2yo · Hugo Palmer · Marco Ghiani · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
20.7%
Fair odds
19/5
Model edge
Raw score
69.9
Official rating
60
Weight
133lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
21

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
14 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

2

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 2 over the last 1 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run
58%8951.6
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 60 against a class 4 contest
12%232.8
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 7 of 14
3%872.6
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%502.0
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Hugo Palmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Marco Ghiani — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 133 lb (top weight)
2%200.4