Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Fri, 4 Sept 2026

17:21 Kempton (AW) — Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Class 47fStandardAll-WeatherNon-handicap14 runnersModel v1.4
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white with royal blue sash, white cap5Sontsivka
2yo · Draw 7 · 133lb · OR 60 · Form 2
Hugo Palmer · Marco Ghiani · 21 days since last run
Score
69.9
Model
20.7%
Fair odds
19/5
Edge
—
Rank
1
Data quality: Medium
light blue with purple quarters, light blue cap12Hidden Beyond
2yo · Draw 13 · 125lb · OR 60 · Form 3
Charles Hills · Jason Watson · 25 days since last run
Score
60.6
Model
12.4%
Fair odds
71/10
Edge
—
Rank
2
Data quality: Medium
pink with emerald stripes, pink cap8Greenlander
2yo · Draw 10 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 3
Stuart Williams · Pat Cosgrave · 30 days since last run
Score
60.5
Model
12.3%
Fair odds
36/5
Edge
—
Rank
3
Data quality: Medium
grey with emerald stripes, emerald cap2Give Hand
2yo · Draw 14 · 133lb · OR 60 · Form 3
Harry Charlton · Daniel Muscutt · 16 days since last run
Score
59.3
Model
11.5%
Fair odds
77/10
Edge
—
Rank
4
Data quality: Medium
purple with orange quarters, purple cap6Xochipilli
2yo · Draw 5 · 133lb · OR 60 · Form 4
Mark Loughnane · Billy Loughnane · 13 days since last run
Score
51.7
Model
7.5%
Fair odds
123/10
Edge
—
Rank
5
Data quality: Medium
scarlet with maroon chevron, royal blue cap13Little Copper
2yo · Draw 6 · 125lb · OR 60
Joseph Parr · Dylan Hogan · 30 days since last run
Score
45.8
Model
5.4%
Fair odds
35/2
Edge
—
Rank
6
Data quality: Medium
light blue with emerald chevron, light blue cap14Sueboys
2yo · Draw 3 · 125lb · OR 60
Ollie Sangster · Stevie Donohoe · 30 days since last run
Score
45.6
Model
5.4%
Fair odds
88/5
Edge
—
Rank
7
Data quality: Medium
black, purple cap10Jenny Rae
2yo · Draw 2 · 128lb · OR 60
Adam Kirby · David Egan · 30 days since last run
Score
45.0
Model
5.2%
Fair odds
183/10
Edge
—
Rank
8
Data quality: Medium
maroon with emerald chevron, emerald cap11Light Fingered
2yo · Draw 8 · 128lb · OR 60
Charlie Fellowes · Kaiya Fraser · 30 days since last run
Score
44.9
Model
5.2%
Fair odds
183/10
Edge
—
Rank
9
Data quality: Medium
pink with maroon quarters, pink cap3Notimetotakeoff
2yo · Draw 4 · 133lb · OR 60
Charlie Johnston · Callum Shepherd · 30 days since last run
Score
44.6
Model
5.1%
Fair odds
187/10
Edge
—
Rank
10
Data quality: Medium
pink with orange chevron, grey cap7Yuzuru
2yo · Draw 9 · 133lb · OR 60
Richard Hannon · Sean Levey · 30 days since last run
Score
44.0
Model
4.9%
Fair odds
97/5
Edge
—
Rank
11
Data quality: Medium
light blue with pink quarters, light blue cap1Admiral Leach
2yo · Draw 1 · 133lb · OR 60 · Form 0
Ed Dunlop · Robert Havlin · 21 days since last run
Score
24.9
Model
1.7%
Fair odds
579/10
Edge
—
Rank
12
Data quality: Medium
grey with pink sash, orange cap4Scienza
2yo · Draw 11 · 133lb · OR 60 · Form 7
Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson · 29 days since last run
Score
22.7
Model
1.5%
Fair odds
327/5
Edge
—
Rank
13
Data quality: Medium
white with light blue chevron, emerald cap9Ground Force
2yo · Draw 12 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 09
James Owen · Harry Davies · 8 days since last run
Score
20.6
Model
1.3%
Fair odds
737/10
Edge
—
Rank
14
Data quality: Medium

Race shape

Model probability and odds for every declared runner; the bars add up to 100%.

Sontsivka
20.7%19/5
Hidden Beyond
12.4%71/10
Greenlander
12.3%36/5
Give Hand
11.5%77/10
Xochipilli
7.5%123/10
Little Copper
5.4%35/2
Sueboys
5.4%88/5
Jenny Rae
5.2%183/10
Light Fingered
5.2%183/10
Notimetotakeoff
5.1%187/10
Yuzuru
4.9%97/5
Admiral Leach
1.7%579/10
Scienza
1.5%327/5
Ground Force
1.3%737/10