Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 17:21 Kempton (AW)

Ground Force

2yo · James Owen · Harry Davies · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
1.3%
Fair odds
737/10
Model edge
Raw score
20.6
Official rating
60
Weight
130lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
8

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
14 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

09

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Recent form & race quality
Form line 09 over the last 2 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run
58%52.8
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 60 against a class 4 contest
12%232.8
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%502.0
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 12 of 14
3%541.6
Trainer recent form
James Owen — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Harry Davies — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 130 lb (below top weight)
2%430.8