← Back to the 17:54 Kempton (AW)
Tojoannie
2yo · Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
1.6%
Fair odds
312/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
18.0
Official rating
60
Weight
125lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
25
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Unibet/ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
12 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
9
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Andrew Balding — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 11 of 12 | 3% | 49 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 125 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 65 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Callum Hutchinson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 9 over the last 1 start(s); 25 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 0 | 0.0 |