Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Fri, 4 Sept 2026

17:54 Kempton (AW)Unibet/ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Class 41mStandardAll-WeatherNon-handicap12 runnersModel v1.4
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light blue with emerald chevron, gold cap1Huwa Baree
2yo · Draw 2 · 134lb · OR 60 · Form 1
Charlie Johnston · Callum Shepherd · 22 days since last run
Score
76.2
Model
39.8%
Fair odds
3/2
Edge
Rank
1
Data quality: Medium
royal blue with scarlet quarters, pink cap5Peaberry
2yo · Draw 10 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 52
Tom Ward · Sean Levey · 17 days since last run
Score
58.0
Model
14.5%
Fair odds
59/10
Edge
Rank
2
Data quality: Medium
maroon with orange sash, maroon cap7Rogue Crusader
2yo · Draw 5 · 130lb · OR 60
Peter Chapple-Hyam · Robert Havlin · 30 days since last run
Score
45.0
Model
7.0%
Fair odds
66/5
Edge
Rank
3
Data quality: Medium
grey with emerald sash, grey cap9Tarn Hows
2yo · Draw 8 · 130lb · OR 60
Daniel & Claire Kubler · Ebrahim Nader · 30 days since last run
Score
44.3
Model
6.8%
Fair odds
137/10
Edge
Rank
4
Data quality: Medium
grey with pink chevron, grey cap8Shorien
2yo · Draw 9 · 130lb · OR 60
Archie Watson · William Cox · 30 days since last run
Score
44.1
Model
6.7%
Fair odds
139/10
Edge
Rank
5
Data quality: Medium
grey with emerald sash, emerald cap10Rock Show
2yo · Draw 12 · 127lb · OR 60
Jonathan Portman · Harry Davies · 30 days since last run
Score
43.7
Model
6.6%
Fair odds
71/5
Edge
Rank
6
Data quality: Medium
light blue, light blue cap3Celtic Storm
2yo · Draw 6 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 5
Richard Hughes · Billy Loughnane · 25 days since last run
Score
42.4
Model
6.1%
Fair odds
77/5
Edge
Rank
7
Data quality: Medium
light blue with orange hoops, light blue cap12Lunar Blossom
2yo · Draw 3 · 122lb · OR 60 · Form 04
William Knight · Marco Ghiani · 31 days since last run
Score
42.0
Model
6.0%
Fair odds
79/5
Edge
Rank
8
Data quality: Medium
pink with scarlet quarters, light blue cap2Arlecchino's Moon
2yo · Draw 4 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 89
Mark Usher · Jason Watson · 17 days since last run
Score
19.0
Model
1.7%
Fair odds
591/10
Edge
Rank
9
Data quality: Medium
maroon with gold quarters, gold cap6Phantom Knight
2yo · Draw 7 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 8
Andrew Balding · Daniel Muscutt · 29 days since last run
Score
18.4
Model
1.6%
Fair odds
61/1
Edge
Rank
10
Data quality: Medium
pink with maroon sash, pink cap4Kiril
2yo · Draw 1 · 130lb · OR 60 · Form 8
Patrick Owens · Mason Paetel(3) · 25 days since last run
Score
18.3
Model
1.6%
Fair odds
307/5
Edge
Rank
11
Data quality: Medium
pink with black hoops, black cap11Tojoannie
2yo · Draw 11 · 125lb · OR 60 · Form 9
Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson · 25 days since last run
Score
18.0
Model
1.6%
Fair odds
312/5
Edge
Rank
12
Data quality: Medium

Race shape

Model probability and odds for every declared runner; the bars add up to 100%.

Huwa Baree
39.8%3/2
Peaberry
14.5%59/10
Rogue Crusader
7.0%66/5
Tarn Hows
6.8%137/10
Shorien
6.7%139/10
Rock Show
6.6%71/5
Celtic Storm
6.1%77/5
Lunar Blossom
6.0%79/5
Arlecchino's Moon
1.7%591/10
Phantom Knight
1.6%61/1
Kiril
1.6%307/5
Tojoannie
1.6%312/5