← Back to the 17:54 Kempton (AW)
Rogue Crusader
2yo · Peter Chapple-Hyam · Robert Havlin · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
7.0%
Fair odds
66/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.0
Official rating
60
Weight
130lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
30
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Unibet/ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
12 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
No form figures are published for this horse — it may be unraced or returning from a long absence.
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality No recorded form figures for this horse | 58% | 45 | 26.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 12 | 3% | 94 | 2.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Peter Chapple-Hyam — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Robert Havlin — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 40 | 0.8 |