Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 15:20 Kempton (AW)

Evenfall

2yo · George Boughey · Billy Loughnane · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
17.5%
Fair odds
47/10
Model edge
Raw score
81.8
Official rating
92
Weight
126lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
22

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)
Conditions
Class 1 · 6f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
10 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

11

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 11 over the last 2 start(s); 22 day(s) since the last run
58%10058.0
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 92 against a class 1 contest
12%728.7
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 92 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%441.8
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 126 lb (below top weight)
2%801.6
Trainer recent form
George Boughey — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 10 of 10
3%421.2
Jockey recent form
Billy Loughnane — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0