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Sat, 5 Sept 2026
15:20 Kempton (AW) — William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)
Class 16fStandardAll-WeatherNon-handicap10 runnersModel v1.4
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2yo · Draw 10 · 126lb · OR 92 · Form 11
George Boughey · Billy Loughnane · 22 days since last run
Score
81.8
Model
17.5%
Fair odds
47/10
Edge
—
Rank
1
Data quality: Medium
2yo · Draw 9 · 129lb · OR 100 · Form 121
Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy · 42 days since last run
Score
81.0
Model
16.8%
Fair odds
5/1
Edge
—
Rank
2
Data quality: High
2yo · Draw 1 · 129lb · OR 93 · Form 12
Simon & Ed Crisford · Jack Mitchell · 29 days since last run
Score
78.2
Model
14.3%
Fair odds
6/1
Edge
—
Rank
3
Data quality: Medium
2yo · Draw 4 · 129lb · OR 106 · Form 122225
Hugo Palmer · Rossa Ryan · 15 days since last run
Score
71.8
Model
10.0%
Fair odds
9/1
Edge
—
Rank
4
Data quality: High
2yo · Draw 2 · 126lb · OR 89 · Form 2161
Kevin Philippart De Foy · Rowan Scott · 14 days since last run
Score
69.9
Model
9.0%
Fair odds
101/10
Edge
—
Rank
5
Data quality: High
2yo · Draw 3 · 126lb · OR 86 · Form 1012
Marco Botti · Benoit de la Sayette · 14 days since last run
Score
69.2
Model
8.7%
Fair odds
21/2
Edge
—
Rank
6
Data quality: High
2yo · Draw 5 · 126lb · OR 88 · Form 14
George Scott · Callum Rodriguez · 22 days since last run
Score
67.3
Model
7.8%
Fair odds
59/5
Edge
—
Rank
7
Data quality: Medium
2yo · Draw 7 · 129lb · OR 96 · Form 1443
Simon & Ed Crisford · Rob Hornby · 28 days since last run
Score
65.1
Model
6.9%
Fair odds
27/2
Edge
—
Rank
8
Data quality: High
2yo · Draw 8 · 129lb · OR 104 · Form 618324
Richard Hughes · Finley Marsh · 15 days since last run
Score
61.5
Model
5.7%
Fair odds
83/5
Edge
—
Rank
9
Data quality: High
2yo · Draw 6 · 126lb · OR 94 · Form 1720
Harry Eustace · Daniel Muscutt · 16 days since last run
Score
51.9
Model
3.3%
Fair odds
291/10
Edge
—
Rank
10
Data quality: High
Race shape
Model probability and odds for every declared runner; the bars add up to 100%.
Evenfall
17.5%47/10
Moonrise
16.8%5/1
Tawakal
14.3%6/1
Adaay of Scarlett
10.0%9/1
Nicely
9.0%101/10
Bated Benevolence
8.7%21/2
Efsixteen
7.8%59/5
Social Symbol
6.9%27/2
Agamemnon
5.7%83/5
Shimmering Sun
3.3%291/10