Model probability
10.0%
Fair odds
9/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
71.8
Official rating
106
Weight
129lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)
Conditions
Class 1 · 6f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
10 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
122225
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 122225 over the last 6 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 76 | 43.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 106 against a class 1 contest | 12% | 94 | 11.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 106 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 75 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 10 | 3% | 96 | 2.9 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Hugo Palmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Rossa Ryan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |