Model probability
11.0%
Fair odds
81/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
47.3
Official rating
74
Weight
133lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
30
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Christmas Parties At Newcastle Racecourse Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
8 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
No form figures are published for this horse — it may be unraced or returning from a long absence.
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality No recorded form figures for this horse | 58% | 45 | 26.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 74 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 45 | 5.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 8 | 3% | 80 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 74 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Roger Varian — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Robbie Downey — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (level weights) | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |