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Sat, 5 Sept 2026

17:57 Newcastle (AW)Christmas Parties At Newcastle Racecourse Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Class 37fStandardAll-WeatherNon-handicap8 runnersModel v1.4
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light blue with pink stripes, pink cap5Mr Minz
2yo · Draw 5 · 133lb · OR 74 · Form 33
Iain Jardine · Jack Nicholls(3) · 54 days since last run
Score
63.5
Model
26.8%
Fair odds
27/10
Edge
Rank
1
Data quality: Medium
black with emerald chevron, black cap2Crystal Dark
2yo · Draw 4 · 133lb · OR 74
Edward Bethell · Sam James · 30 days since last run
Score
47.5
Model
11.1%
Fair odds
8/1
Edge
Rank
2
Data quality: Medium
emerald with purple quarters, purple cap4Geometry
2yo · Draw 1 · 133lb · OR 74
Roger Varian · Robbie Downey · 30 days since last run
Score
47.3
Model
11.0%
Fair odds
81/10
Edge
Rank
3
Data quality: Medium
pink with emerald stripes, pink cap1Alkumatic Dan
2yo · Draw 6 · 133lb · OR 74
Ivan Furtado · Jonny Peate · 30 days since last run
Score
46.9
Model
10.7%
Fair odds
42/5
Edge
Rank
4
Data quality: Medium
maroon with emerald chevron, royal blue cap8Wadacre Gabriel
2yo · Draw 7 · 133lb · OR 74
Charlie Johnston · Dougie Costello · 30 days since last run
Score
46.5
Model
10.5%
Fair odds
17/2
Edge
Rank
5
Data quality: Medium
royal blue with emerald stripes, white cap6Skies The Spirit
2yo · Draw 8 · 133lb · OR 74
Kevin & Lauren Frost · Alistair Rawlinson · 30 days since last run
Score
46.2
Model
10.3%
Fair odds
87/10
Edge
Rank
6
Data quality: Medium
black with gold sash, black cap3Dodgem
2yo · Draw 3 · 133lb · OR 74 · Form 5
Julie Camacho · Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · 43 days since last run
Score
45.6
Model
9.9%
Fair odds
91/10
Edge
Rank
7
Data quality: Medium
grey, pink cap7St Helier
2yo · Draw 2 · 133lb · OR 74 · Form 5
Kevin Ryan · Tom Eaves · 36 days since last run
Score
45.4
Model
9.8%
Fair odds
46/5
Edge
Rank
8
Data quality: Medium

Race shape

Model probability and odds for every declared runner; the bars add up to 100%.

Mr Minz
26.8%27/10
Crystal Dark
11.1%8/1
Geometry
11.0%81/10
Alkumatic Dan
10.7%42/5
Wadacre Gabriel
10.5%17/2
Skies The Spirit
10.3%87/10
Dodgem
9.9%91/10
St Helier
9.8%46/5