Model probability
9.3%
Fair odds
49/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
42.3
Official rating
77
Weight
132lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-67185
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -67185 over the last 5 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 35 | 20.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 77 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 49 | 5.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 9 | 3% | 79 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 77 against a field average of 76 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 53 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Geoffrey Harker — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form David Allan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 132 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 42 | 0.8 |