Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Sat, 5 Sept 2026

17:35 ThirskThirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Class 47fGood to SoftTurfHandicap9 runnersModel v1.4
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pink with purple chevron, purple cap6Imperial Guard
5yo · Draw 5 · 130lb · OR 75 · Form 851110
Michael Dods · Connor Beasley · 21 days since last run
Score
54.9
Model
18.8%
Fair odds
43/10
Edge
Rank
1
Data quality: High
grey with white stripes, grey cap4Midnight Strike
4yo · Draw 7 · 132lb · OR 77 · Form 008153
Jennie Candlish · Darragh Keenan · 34 days since last run
Score
49.6
Model
13.9%
Fair odds
31/5
Edge
Rank
2
Data quality: High
orange with gold hoops, gold cap2Obelix
6yo · Draw 2 · 136lb · OR 81 · Form 015504
Julie Camacho · Jason Hart · 24 days since last run
Score
47.9
Model
12.7%
Fair odds
69/10
Edge
Rank
3
Data quality: High
light blue with emerald stripes, maroon cap8Fiscal Policy
7yo · Draw 9 · 126lb · OR 71 · Form 320063
Ruth Carr · James Sullivan · 20 days since last run
Score
47.0
Model
12.1%
Fair odds
73/10
Edge
Rank
4
Data quality: High
white, orange cap5Mr King
6yo · Draw 1 · 132lb · OR 77 · Form -67185
Geoffrey Harker · David Allan · 14 days since last run
Score
42.3
Model
9.3%
Fair odds
49/5
Edge
Rank
5
Data quality: High
grey with pink chevron, grey cap1Stanley Spencer
5yo · Draw 6 · 136lb · OR 81 · Form 863920
Fionn McSharry · M. P. Sheehy · 14 days since last run
Score
42.0
Model
9.2%
Fair odds
99/10
Edge
Rank
6
Data quality: High
white with pink quarters, white cap9Nyman
4yo · Draw 3 · 125lb · OR 70 · Form 406439
Roger Fell · Joanna Mason · 21 days since last run
Score
41.0
Model
8.6%
Fair odds
53/5
Edge
Rank
7
Data quality: High
grey with light blue chevron, light blue cap3Capital Guarantee
6yo · Draw 8 · 133lb · OR 78 · Form 906166
David O'Meara · Billy Garritty · 21 days since last run
Score
40.3
Model
8.3%
Fair odds
11/1
Edge
Rank
8
Data quality: High
scarlet with light blue sash, scarlet cap7Packetofbiscuits
4yo · Draw 4 · 127lb · OR 72 · Form 125078
John Mackie · Finlay Bassett(7) · 18 days since last run
Score
37.5
Model
7.1%
Fair odds
13/1
Edge
Rank
9
Data quality: High

Race shape

Model probability and odds for every declared runner; the bars add up to 100%.

Imperial Guard
18.8%43/10
Midnight Strike
13.9%31/5
Obelix
12.7%69/10
Fiscal Policy
12.1%73/10
Mr King
9.3%49/5
Stanley Spencer
9.2%99/10
Nyman
8.6%53/5
Capital Guarantee
8.3%11/1
Packetofbiscuits
7.1%13/1