Model probability
18.8%
Fair odds
43/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
54.9
Official rating
75
Weight
130lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
851110
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 851110 over the last 6 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 58 | 33.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 75 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 46 | 5.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 9 | 3% | 82 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 75 against a field average of 76 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 48 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Dods — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 53 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Connor Beasley — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |