Model probability
7.1%
Fair odds
13/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
37.5
Official rating
72
Weight
127lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
18
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
125078
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 125078 over the last 6 start(s); 18 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 28 | 16.2 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 72 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 42 | 5.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 9 | 3% | 92 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 72 against a field average of 76 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 42 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form John Mackie — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 127 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 69 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Finlay Bassett(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |