Model probability
8.6%
Fair odds
53/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
41.0
Official rating
70
Weight
125lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
406439
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 406439 over the last 6 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 34 | 19.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 70 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 38 | 4.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 9 | 3% | 99 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 125 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Roger Fell — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 70 against a field average of 76 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 37 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Joanna Mason — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |